In a policy address on April 13, President Obama shared an outline of his proposals for cutting the federal deficit by $4 trillion, including reducing federal Medicare and Medicaid spending by $480 billion over 12 years.
Obama’s speech follows last week’s release of House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan’s (R-WI) proposed FY2012 Budget Resolution, which incensed advocates for older adults and other vulnerable populations by proposing cuts of more than $6 trillion over 10 years, and converting the Medicare program into a voucher program and the Medicaid program into a block grant. (See a side-by-side comparison of the two plans from The New York Times.)
Obama’s proposals for reducing Medicare and Medicaid spending, though far less dramatic than those proposed by Ryan, could affect direct-care workers and consumers of long-term services and supports. In contrast with the Ryan proposal, Obama includes some tax increases for wealthy Americans in order to mitigate spending cuts for Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security.
Strengthening the IPAB Board to Reduce Medicare Spending
First, Obama proposes to strengthen the power of the Independent Payment Advisory Board (pdf) that was created by the Affordable Care Act.
Under current law, the Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB) is tasked with making recommendations to Congress for reducing Medicare costs anytime cost growth exceeds GDP per capita plus 1 percent. Obama proposes lowering the trigger for IPAB recommendations to GDP per capita plus 0.5 percent. According to a Center for Budget and Policy Priorities statement (pdf), Medicare costs have historically risen at about GDP per capita plus 2 percent.
Because the IPAB is prohibited from recommending increased cost sharing for beneficiaries, it will likely — in either its current or a “strengthened” form — have to recommend some cuts in provider payments.
Since Medicare is a funder of both skilled nursing facility and home health care, cuts in provider payments could have an impact on direct-care worker compensation and on consumer access to care.
Changing Federal Medicaid Matching Formulas
Obama also proposed replacing the current mix of federal Medicaid matching formulas, which vary by program, with a single federal matching rate for all Medicaid spending. This rate would be structured to encourage efficiency; it would also increase if a recession caused enrollment and cost increases.
Obama has asked state governors to formulate a plan to cut Medicaid spending by $100 billion over the next 10 years. Details are lacking, but — though significantly less harmful than the $771 billion in Medicaid cuts in the Ryan budget resolution — the $100 billion in cuts proposed by Obama could have a negative impact on Medicaid programs that are classified as “optional,” including home- and community-based long-term services and supports.
– by Gail MacInnes, PHI National Policy Analyst